Quick Thoughts On Syria

So everyone knows the news. Trump has ordered some military actions in Syria. The third world war of the neocons and liberals with Russia and the anti-globalists is coming, we were all duped, and the end is nigh. Trump is a fraud and a con and everything the media was saying he was; the mask has come off and now anyone to the right of Newt Gingrich has been made to look a fool. The shills calling him a puppet of Israel were right all along. We should have skipped voting altogether and stayed in our bunkers in Montana. Ha! the leftists must be chortling to themselves. We sure told those stupid rednecks!

Well, not so fast. If there is one thing that this election cycle has taught me, it’s that the unexpected can and will happen. If there’s another thing that it’s taught me it’s that overreactions have never served anyone. Hunter Wallace over at Occidental Dissent is currently having some sort of meltdown, but for anyone who has been watching the site for more than a year this isn’t new. Perhaps Mr. Wallace is merely possessed of particularly hot blood, but he is awfully quick to jump ship, call a traitor, or declare things ruined.

This time, he isn’t the only one. The internet is abuzz with the news that the “alt-right” has disavowed Donald Trump. All are “off the Trump train.” My question to them is: why were you ever on it? High expectations have high disappointments, and it seems to me that the problem now is not one of Trump himself but one of insufficiently cool heads. Many on the Greater Right have called it quits on Trump before, but (perhaps until now) all their fears have proven unfounded or marginal. Until now, Trump has pulled through every challenge that has faced him, ones that many (including myself) thought insurmountable. I went into this election thinking that Trump would be useful merely for pushing the Overton Window rightwards, and he exceeded my expectations. Nevertheless, he was never going to be our Savior. He was never going to be everything we wanted him to be, no matter how much he went above and beyond what we expected. Yet with these moves, the right’s expectations of Trump grew large, and they were seemingly rewarded.

And yet we have Syria. Are things over?

I don’t think so. At least, I’m not willing to call it yet. Maybe I’m risk-averse, but my attitude has always been one of “wait and see.” I think that’s precisely what we should do now. We can’t exaggerate the situation more than what it is. By the way that some “alt-right” figures are in hysterics, one would think that Trump had gone before Congress to request a declaration of war on Russia, Iran, Syria, and right-wingers. A single missile attack (though large in scale) is not that; personally I found the raid in Yemen by actual US personnel a more objectionable foreign policy move, but Syria is far more volatile than Yemen.

Things are dire, no doubt. Military action in Syria is precisely what the neocons worming their way into control of the new administration have been champing at the bit for, and this is likely to have only whetted their appetite. It’s certain they’ll be out for more. If you give a mouse a cookie… Indeed, John McCain and Lindsey Graham have already begun working on plans for Syria to present before Trump with an eagerness one might more readily expect of a kissless forty-year old in the presence of a virgin teen than supposed men of state.

Additionally, this is likely to be a serious blow to Trump’s political coalition. It wasn’t the neocons who elected Trump. Not only do they have no base, they fought against him every step of the way. Trump was elected as as close to an explicit rejection of neoconnery as we could get, and it seems unlikely that those voters who mounted enough pressure to force Obama out of action in Syria and elected Trump partially on his anti-war stances will be very forgiving of this move on Trump’s part. If the “alt-right” is to be believed, Trump will never be trusted again.

But Trump has weathered uncertainties before. Many of them, in fact, and while none of them were uncertainties to his base (at least, not at this magnitude) there is no denying Trump is a survivor. Should Trump come out of this reaffirmed, we may see his base return stronger than ever, apologetic for ever doubting him. Should this be the crack that finally causes him to stumble, it could spell the end of Trump 2020, if not his presidency here and now. It is, by all accounts except the neocons’, political suicide, and it is mind-boggling that Trump — who has so far proven himself to be if not savvy then wily — could possibly believe that anyone, let alone his anti-neocon base, would be supportive of these actions.

So maybe he doesn’t expect them to be. After all, the Syrian airstrike does several good things for Trump. It makes him look strong; where Obama failed to back up his words, Trump has backed up his. It makes him look decisive; where Obama (and others) dallied and stuttered, Trump quietly took action. It irreparably destroys stories of Trump and Russia colluding; no one will believe that Trump could be an agent of Putin now that he has so boldly (or brashly) shoved his thumb in the Russian Emperor’s face. It exposes all the neocons in his administration; as men like Bibi of Israel cheer, like Jared Kushner breathe in relief, like John McCain gush, and like Tillerson declare that “steps are underway” to oust Assad, Trump now knows who stands on which side of the fence. Best of all, Trump has not committed to anything. Not yet. He has blustered his usual amount, flared his rhetoric, but he has not made commitments. He has made a single large airstrike. Let’s hope that’s the end of it.

If we’re lucky, this was Trump’s plan. Like time after time we’ve weathered before, this could be another move on Trump’s part; high-risk, but potentially high-reward. If we’re lucky we’ll see Trump slap down Tillerson and the neocons and declare his cruise missile strike the end of things. If we’re lucky Trump will begin purging his cabinet and departments, now having the excuses to do so for his political base. After all, all these men have betrayed the America First foreign policy that helped Trump to the Oval Office. If Trump has gambled right, he may not be numbered among them. If we are lucky this will have only been a political exercise to differentiate President Trump from President Obama, a gambit to flush out the traitors in his confidences.

If we’re unlucky, this is just the start of saber-rattling signaling the transformation of the Trump Administration to the administration the neocons wanted post-2016. If we’re unlucky, Trump has blundered into political suicide against all odds and been seduced by the honeyed-words of his traitorous advisers, having been insulated from the concerns of his base and thrust instead into the differently-prioritied world of Washington, DC where crocodile tears of humanitarianism are shed aplenty. If we are really unlucky, Trump was merely a gambit to utilize the energy of rising populist-nationalist sentiments to elect a neocon, but that seems unlikely given the political competencies Republicans have thus far displayed. It would also be a monumentally stupid thing to waste a president on, assuming that Syria is a smaller fish than everyone is treating it as.

Which will we get? Will we be lucky or unlucky? Who can say. Our luck has held strong so far, no matter how many times it was predicted by the right to fail. Now they’re doing so again. Yet we can’t fall into the gambler’s fallacy. Sooner or later, the coin will come up wrong. If this is that time, we may be in for a rough future.

So what does this mean for us? At worst, it means we’ll be back in the same position, although with some substantial gains. Even if Trump goes down in flames, the Trump-affair will not have been without its benefits. Trump showed that nationalism was not only present but a political force to be reckoned with. Trump forced ideas into the mainstream that we could never before have dreamed of. Trump allowed open discussion of things we had always assumed would get us worse consequences than they did. Trump showed that the Establishment had a worse bark than bite. Surprisingly, if this affair causes his demise, it will not have been for nothing. It will have proved, yet again, that one cannot trust Jews or neocons, not even the “good ones.” It will have proved that the Establishment will not give up its power, not even to the democratic process it pays lip-service to. It will have dealt a serious blow to democracy, to the legitimacy of everyone involved, and it will not have changed the core problems Trump was chosen to solve. Should Trump’s presidency die, our problems will still remain, and the right’s solutions will only grow ever more appealing.

The problem lies in time. Trump, as one renegade writer christened him, was part of the Flight 93 Election. We are running out of time. Of that there is no doubt. Though not as bad as the hysterics would have you believe, we are still heading towards white extinction and, following that, human extinction itself. The problems our world faces are very rapidly requiring solutions from people who don’t exist, from civilizations shadows of their former selves. World salvation will not come from Asia or the Middle East, and certainly not Africa, India, South America, or the rest of Brown World. Trump represented an opportunity to begin fixing things at just the time we needed to, and if he dies the opportunity dies with it. We may be doomed.

From the start I knew if Trump was elected it would be an uphill battle the way a violent revolution wouldn’t be. The sheer scale of what needs to be done boggles the mind, and makes many (including myself) long for the quick and easy solution of burning everything down and starting from scratch. But Trump changed that, working within the system and, to everyone’s surprise, winning. He would have to keep winning and winning — as he promised us we would — for us to avert disaster, and now it seems we might be losing.

At the end of the day, all I can say is this: wait and see; keep marching; and work with what you’ve got. Trump was not our beginning and he won’t be our end. He was our tool, and if he turns out to be a defective one it will not be our end. We’re going through Hell, and we need to keep going. Win or lose, the Trump situation is as manageable as it ever was. Let us merely hope, for the sake of tender hearts, that Trump overcomes this challenge and defies expectations again.

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